[apothegm]

> My main expectations for downside risk are (1) AI being used by evil people to do evil, and (2) AI being used by lazy people before it's competent.

Mine are those and mass unemployment. Whether or not AI can really replace human workers, those in charge are looking for excuses to cut headcount.

And while those sort of structural changes may lead to higher average quality of life in the long run, in the short run people go hungry and homeless because they can’t reskill that quickly and the economy doesn’t have room to absorb them. And meanwhile most of the benefits accrue to capital and you get runaway inequality as in the gilded age.