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by pentamassiv
419 days ago
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I also struggle with that part. the author makes it seem like guessing correctly is the logical conclusion of not having an opinion and thus not over- or underestimating. One assumption is that humans can estimate at all. The average could just as well be zero, 100 or a random value. A monkey probably doesn't have an opinion about an ox, but I doubt a group of monkeys can estimate the weight of an ox. Send like there are more conditions that need to be fulfilled in order for it to work |
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