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by rda2
415 days ago
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I mean, this just appears to be fixed nominal returns, minus a fee, multiplied by a factor from an actuarial table. Contrast it with a calculator like this [0] that uses combines historical return and inflation data with actuarial data to show the variance of outcomes, not just average returns. For instance, your calculator shows a scenario of investing in bitcoin and withdrawing >20% of your portfolio every year which makes zero sense once you account for variance of returns. I like the idea of tontines, I'm glad someone is trying to bring them back, and I don't doubt that your product could help with longevity risk, but I haven't seen anything so far that actually shows that. I'd like to see actual results from backtesting, or a prediction that takes risk into account, not just a fixed return. [0]https://engaging-data.com/will-money-last-retire-early/ |
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