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by tianqi
431 days ago
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For reference, a hybrid fuzzy-SVM has a prediction accuracy rate of 88.26%. https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8344688 (This shows why betting on sports is almost impossible to have a long-term edge as it's already a very efficient market and the odds usually reflect the win rate very well.) As another reference, an earlier predictor that also uses the elo rating system has an accuracy of 65.3% which is very close to the result in this post, and I guess this may be a typical range for elo-based predictors. https://github.com/luke-lite/NBA-Prediction-Modeling By the way, I really like the interface of this "emailware". It's really fun to play with. |
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