[ebruchez]

> China will surpass USA from a GDP Point of view in 2035.

Don't be so sure, this has become much less clear. For example, in this article: "The Centre for Economics and Business Research, which in 2020 predicted that China would overtake the U.S. by 2028, revised the crossover point two years later, to 2036. This month, the British consultancy said it will not happen in the next 15 years."

https://www.newsweek.com/2025/01/31/china-us-compete-biggest...

[thfuran]

That was before the US decided to shoot itself in the face with economic policy.

[ebruchez]

Yes, but this will likely hurt China as well. You can't assume only the US will be hurt by this.

[Sonnigeszeug]

Right now USA is alianating everyone.

I'm in germany and i'm pissed. I will not go on holiday in USA and thinking proactivly how to boycot USA.

And i'm not even a company. A company wants stability, predictability and not chaos every 4 years. And this president is in office for only a few month.

Whatever strategy companys currently try to do is either sitting it out or starting to adjust. The adjustments might not just go back when USA is more stable again.

[thfuran]

I don't. I'm saying all prior bets are off, though I do think US is going to be in the center of the nexus of pain, even if China is also hurt.