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by pjc50 435 days ago
> there isn't a reasonable path to them paying the money back

Indefinite rollover is completely fine! Yes there are problems if the total interest payment gets too large, and there's scope for discussion about that, but there's no hard cutoff, it just becomes more and more uncomfortable.

People saying there will be a default: deadline please. Or is this just a general assumption that mortality is inevitable for states? The UK has never defaulted, for example.
1 comments
roenxi 435 days ago
It isn't completely fine and the interest payments are too large.

Sure the US can afford its debts if it avoids paying fair interest and never returns the principle. The idea that is reasonable from a lender's perspective is fantasy and we live in reality.

> The UK has never defaulted, for example.

The UK has traditionally not been in a state of running up debts; they borrowed money for things like world wars then spent most of their time paying loans down. The US isn't behaving like a creditworthy country because they borrow to consume and they aren't attempting to shrink the debt.

If the US tended to be repaying the money it borrowed then it'd be plausible that they intend to avoid a default.

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pjc50 434 days ago
> never returns the principle

But it does! All the bonds pay out after X years, and everyone is completely fine with this.

> The UK has traditionally not been in a state of running up debts; they borrowed money for things like world wars then spent most of their time paying loans down. The US isn't behaving like a creditworthy country because they borrow to consume and they aren't attempting to shrink the debt.

You've not looked at the numbers, have you.

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roenxi 434 days ago
> But it does! All the bonds pay out after X years, and everyone is completely fine with this.

I'm happy to argue with you but you're going to have to read the entire sentence. Possibly even the entire paragraph. Otherwise it is a bit pointless even for the fun of it.

> You've not looked at the numbers, have you.

I have, I put a good 5-10 minutes in to it. I suspect you haven't looked at the numbers.

You can find references on places like the BBC [0] but there are also charts that go back to the 1800s and the story is reasonably consistent. Historically most years the UK pays down debt. In fact, the last time it didn't was the 1930s and after that klutzy fumble it didn't get to be an empire any more, so that was a mistake.

[0] https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/standard/800/cpsprodpb/16CB7/pr...

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