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by seanmcdirmid 443 days ago
We can fall a lot more, and people who are buying the dip on credit aren't necessarily taking a long term view of the market. Who is keeping a few hundred K in their bank account just in case the market crashes so they can take advantage of it?

Also, 2008 you needed 5 years to recover if you bought at peak (buying as it was lower of course means less time to recover). In 1930, you were looking at 20 years. You could also lose your job if the market really tanks, and buying the dip just means you are less liquid at a time when you need money for living expenses.

1 comments

You're assuming something like all or nothing. As I mentioned I do investing regularly, just as if you were saving money after you paid your bills and you have spare money that otherwise would be sitting in your bank account. Even if I had the amount you mentioned it would be at least for me too risky to do that move. I would do it regularly. If people are taking credits to do that, well they are making an extremely risky move as well. Just because the market could go down doesn't mean that you have to make an all-in move.
> You're assuming something like all or nothing.

I'm assuming worst case, which is what you have to prepare to survive through.

> As I mentioned I do investing regularly, just as if you were saving money after you paid your bills and you have spare money that otherwise would be sitting in your bank account.

You are supposed to have 3-6 months of living expenses in your savings account just in case you lose your job. Is that what you are talking about using to invest in a dip?

> Even if I had the amount you mentioned it would be at least for me too risky to do that move. I would do it regularly.

Yes, but you are also saving money for events where you need liquidity right?

If the tariffs go on for awhile and consumption becomes expensive, we can always just cut back on consumption and invest that money instead (Americans consume a lot anyways), that is what the Chinese have been doing all along at least (although they wished their consumers would start consuming more). We are basically going to swap places with the Chinese, the writing on the wall is clear.