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by ImPostingOnHN 445 days ago
> This is the nature of social media. If you see 10 examples of something happening in another country there is a good chance you will alter your behavior

That's actually the nature of bayesian probability: if something is happening a higher proportion of the time vs. before, it's more likely to happen now vs. before. If that something is bad, that means higher risk. It's expected that a rational actor would act to minimize risk to them.

> As someone who spends a lot of time on both locations, I know that both scenarios are rare

Precisely how rare is it, over the last couple months, for US immigration officials to detain someone (perhaps "for further questioning", perhaps to a prison) who hasn't violated any laws? Claiming "it's rare" isn't very useful. Remember, the expected probability is ~0.