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by j4coh 441 days ago
Where does the cash come from if you’re invested? Are you just keeping huge piles of cash around in low interest accounts in the hopes that a black swan event comes along?
4 comments

If you had a balanced portfolio a week ago, you're almost certainly overweight bonds today. Rebalance to your target weights and you'll be buying equities.
Yeah. I have 5 years salary in cash, and know many people who also pulled out of the market over the last 6 months.

Hell, warren buffet is sitting on 350 billion in cash waiting for this exact scenario.

Wow! Even with the crash, wouldn't you have been better off getting the last five years of gains, especially given interest rates didn't match inflation?
I was curious, so checked - $500,000 in VOO 5 years ago would have been 1.18 million today - already accounting for the crash so far. The market would need to crash an additional 60% starting with the next open to get you back to your $500,000 break even. Maybe this will happen, but that's quite a fall.
I'm not saying I have been sitting on them for 5 years, just that they are in cash now. 10/10 agree sitting out the last 5 years would be a mistake.
How do you know ahead of time when to pull it out?
You make a personal evaluation that differs from the market and you act on it. You need a model of the world and to believe it is more accurate than the average. A lot of people felt the market was overvalued and would correct during the Trump presidency.
> Where does the cash come from if you’re invested?

The next paycheck. I don't go all in to one thing, but shift where it goes depending on what's generally going on.

You of course sold all your stocks beginning of November because you knew a deep crash was coming and wanted to be ready to buy into it. And now you have a lot of cash.