[pinkmuffinere]

> virtually guaranteed!

I feel like you might be confused about the statement. One platform gives 58% odds, the other gives 64% odds. This is obviously high, but also very far from virtually guaranteed. In 100 trials, we’d expect recession in ~60 events. There is no secret math hidden here, it’s just that.

[dmoy]

GP comment is a joke about gambler fallacy (or also MMO crit, drop, etc rates)

[pinkmuffinere]

Ah lol, I just totally missed the joke