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by techpineapple 445 days ago
He is, and I get this, but I think there's something wrong with the data, something like, MAGA is popular, and even though he's an imperfect steward of MAGA, he's the only valid steward of MAGA. Or, he's unpopular, but he's unpopular with people who will always vote Republican, and popular with people who will only vote Trump, pushing Republican's over the top.

But how do you explain Trump being unpopular, and like sports stars doing the Trump dance?

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/19/sport/trump-dance-sports-spt-...

Or how do you explain that Republicans underperform when Trump is not on the ballot? Or how do you explain that Trump absolutely annihilated his competition in the primary! This feels like a perfect example of Bezos' "When the data and the anecdotes disagree, believe the anecdotes"

Trump won the only poll that matters. Destroyed by most metrics. Who cares what the polls say about him being unpopular?

1 comments

MAGA is not popular. Only about 50% of republicans are MAGA and about 30% of the population are republicans. Being generous, MAGA has something like 20% support.

Trump's win was hardly a destruction. It was quite slim.

Donald Trump beat Nikki Haley 2268 delegates to 97 delegates. 17,015,756 to 4,381,799 popular votes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Republican_Party_presiden....