[0x5f3759df-i]

People are really over indexing on current AI capabilities.

We’re barely 2 years on from ChatGPT’s initial release and we’ve gone from “this thing can put words together in a semi-coherent way” to “this thing produces undergrad level research papers on anything you ask about”.

Where will we be in another 2 years? Probably not at AGI, but there’s no sign this is slowing down.

[theamk]

I dunno, I remember reading qbout glue on pizza almost a year ago.. and today I was talking to github tech support and their AI bot (presumably latest and greatest, with best minds programming it), suggested a command which does not exist. And Google AI summary is still hilariously bad for any moderately complex question.

I don't see much AI yielding accurate answers anytime soon, and certainly not in 2 years.

[0x5f3759df-i]

The best models are not GitHub’s support bot (Microsoft isn’t even creating their own models) or Google’s AI summary.

If you haven’t used Claude 3.7 extended thinking to write code or ChatGPT Deep Research to investigate a topic you are not seeing what the capabilities are at the cutting edge.

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/

None of it is perfect, obviously, and it’s not going to take everyone’s job next year. But people are not updating their thinking properly if they haven’t used the latest paid models.