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by 0hijinks 447 days ago
Beyond LARPing the feasibility of building new computers post societal collapse, the website's proposal for collapse being so imminent is... weakly justified?

I'm not an optimist in today's societal climate, but the rationale [1] stems from peak oil and cultural bankruptcy. Peak oil is (was?) the concern of limited oil production in the face of static or increasing demand. The 2019 peak from big oil wasn't about declining production, but declining demand [2]. Which is good, if the ideal is long-lasting migration to renewables.

I won't try to predict the future w/r/t what current societal trends mean for the long-term success of global supply chains, but I would be greatly surprised if cultural bankruptcy alone causes the complete collapse of society in the next 5-10 years.

[1] http://collapseos.org/civ.html

[2] https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/c...

1 comments

I think full scale collapse is unlikely. I'd rate balkanization / large scale internet disruptions as pretty likely to happen within the next few years due to a combination of:

- lightly protected and globally reachable attack surface

- increasing geopolitical tensions

- the bizarre tendency to put everything possible online, i.e. IoT devices that always need internet, resources that rely on CDNs to function, other weird dependencies.