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by twakefield
452 days ago
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There is a correlation analysis in Jamin Ball's "Clouded Judgement" substack [1] which shows the correlation between next twelve month ("NTM") Revenue Multiples and Revenue Annual Growth Rates for public market tech / SaaS stocks. The current Slope-Intercept is (NTM Revenue Multiple) = 36.677*(NTM Rev Growth Rate) + 2.0013. If Wiz is doubling revenue (100% Growth Rate) and they are at about $500M of revenue today [2], then the multiple according to that calculation is ~38.7 X Next Twelve Month Revenue ($1B) or $38.7B. So, the price is in line with the market...or you could argue even a discount to it. [1] https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-31...
[2] https://www.barrons.com/articles/google-stock-price-wiz-deal... |
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