If we assume programmer and software developer are the same job and there's been a 22% drop in programmers without a corresponding increase in devs, then it still seems like a net job loss?
A net job loss, but a much smaller one. The source article includes a graph of "Employment in the computer and data-processing services industry", showing a perceptible but quite small dip which could be correlated with either widespread GenAI or the 2022 bear market.