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by Smithalicious 462 days ago
How significant is "in the blast radius of an oil refinery"? Once every how many years should I expect a typical oil refinery to explode? This really doesn't seem like it should be their first, second, fifth, or twelfth priority to"solve".

EDIT: asking Claude:

Based on historical data, major refinery explosions in developed countries might occur at a rate of approximately 1 in 1,000 to 1 in 2,000 refinery-years of operation. Using this very rough estimate, a single refinery might have approximately a 50% chance of experiencing a significant explosion somewhere between 700-1,400 years of continuous operation.

2 comments

"11 years ago, the Chevron refinery exploded. It wasn’t a surprise."

https://apen4ej.medium.com/11-years-ago-the-chevron-refinery...

Keep in mind that Brewster bought the building because it looked like the icon, not vice versa. Not exactly the amount of thought that might be expected of an archival institution.

Somebody should tell Claude that the Wikipedia article for a refinery located on San Francisco Bay contains the headings:

- 1989 explosion and fire

- 1999 explosion and fire

- 2012 fire

The 2012 incident sent 15,000 people to the hospital.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chevron_Richmond_Refinery