[JumpCrisscross]

> There were 5 such drops in 2020, 4 in 2022, and 1 in 2023. Somehow, the nation avoided ruin during those periods

Come on, look at your numbers. Recession in 2020 with 5 blips on the monitor. Last quarter we saw negative real GDP Q1 ‘22, 4 blips. 1 blip in ‘23 and none in ‘24 while the economy did so well prices overheated.

Now we’re seeing 1 blip in Q1. If we annualise that to 4 blips, it puts us back in the last year in which we had a single quarter with negative real GDP growth.

[rufus_foreman]

I am looking at the numbers.

And what the numbers show is that a 10% drop happens on average every 1.2 years and is not something that needs Congress to get involved in every time it happens.

If you can't tolerate 10% drops on a regularly occurring basis, the answer is not to beg Congress for help, it is to invest in something safer with lower returns.

[JumpCrisscross]

> a 10% drop happens on average every 1.2 years

You’re averaging a non-averageable time series.

> If you can't tolerate 10% drops on a regularly occurring basis

The point is to look at data together. A 10% drop on its own isn’t much. A 10% drop alongside crashing ISM indices and the President being noncommittal on a coming recession is another.

[rurp]

You seem weirdly determined to ignore all context in a discussion about markets.

[mcphage]

> And what the numbers show is that a 10% drop happens on average every 1.2 years

Is the market done dropping?