[WorkerBee28474]

The next Canadian federal election will be no later than October 20, 2025. Possibly much sooner.

While Carney's party has seen a bump in the polls recently (thanks to Trump) which changed the predicted result from an opposition blowout to merely an opposition lead, Carney is nowhere near as good a communicator as Trudeau and will likely not do well in the polls.

[timbit42]

His opponent is a much worse communicator though and can't think on his feet.