[adventured]

Quasi isolationist for four years. Any Democrat elected will immediately obliterate Trump's executive orders (including those that are trade related). One would have to believe Trump's politics will rule the US for the long-term (there is no reason to believe that).

[thecopy]

>there is no reason to believe that

1. GOP has been MAGA for 10 years.

2. The electorate elected him again, even after being a felon, even after 6th Jan.

What is the reason to assume it _will_ change?

[DaedPsyker]

I don't see MAGA surviving post Trump.

I'd say it will morph, and elements will remain in the republican party but not intact.

Trump is a huge magnetising force but without him, it doesn't really have anyone else. Sure people like Vance will try to further their own ambition but none of them will succeed in taking on the mantle and keeping it as the force is today.

[thecopy]

>elements will remain in the republican party but not intact

But everyone in a position in power and/or leadership is presumably MAGA now? Who will they promote within the party?

[mystified5016]

There's no shortage of human scum to choose from. Vance is fairly popular, afaict

[Amezarak]

I don't think anyone in 2014, let alone 2013, predicted Trump would be the leader of the Republican party in 2016. It seems a little early to make the call that nobody will fill the vacuum between now and 2028.

[amanaplanacanal]

It really does seem to be a cult of personality. I'm hopeful that it dies with Trump, but I guess we will see.

[lovich]

We’re in table flipping mode in terms of what norms actually mean and you listed a whole bunch of things that are norms.

Nothings guaranteed anymore when the old order is being thrown out

[pjmlp]

Assuming elections will still be thing.

Look to the countries Trump worships.

If the population doesn't react during this year, it might be too late in four years.

In Portugal it took us 30 years, and elections were happening.