If these tools get to a point where they redefine software development (they unequivocally have not redefined software lifecycles at all companies I have witnessed) then they will build up dependencies for these tools at the enterprise level while slowly ratcheting up the prices for all tiers. Finally they'll reduce alternative development options and features, requiring access to these tools to compete at a high level.
I don't think they'll ever be so good that they beat a truly great software engineer. But they'll get into the 60th or whatever percentile where they become an honest player in the off shoring conversation.
Before all this happens software engineer salaries and soft power will tank, purely off the rhetoric used as a shield so the executives can avoid the guillotine.
Remember we absolutely cannot unionize because then we'll earn less money. No matter what we must not unionize.
If these tools get to a point where they redefine software development (they unequivocally have not redefined software lifecycles at all companies I have witnessed) then they will build up dependencies for these tools at the enterprise level while slowly ratcheting up the prices for all tiers. Finally they'll reduce alternative development options and features, requiring access to these tools to compete at a high level.
I don't think they'll ever be so good that they beat a truly great software engineer. But they'll get into the 60th or whatever percentile where they become an honest player in the off shoring conversation.
Before all this happens software engineer salaries and soft power will tank, purely off the rhetoric used as a shield so the executives can avoid the guillotine.
Remember we absolutely cannot unionize because then we'll earn less money. No matter what we must not unionize.