[jsmcallister]

3 violent "events" happening equidistant from each other does not mean a 4th is inevitable in the same timeframe. If I see proof back hundreds of years, then I would listen. Either way, pretty safe prediction that humans will act violently in the next 10 years.

[jacques_chester]

His model proposes that the timing of the mesocycles of violence is set by the father-grandson dynamic and that the timing of the macrocycles of decline is 3 or 4 mesocycles once the empire has reached its zenith.

[ananyob]

His prediction isn't just based on the three spikes though. And the deeper pattern he sees in the US holds in other countries.