[codedivine]

I think the assumption that Moore's law, or even Koomey's law, is going to hold for another two decades is wildly optimistic. I would expect a taper off much sooner, perhaps even this decade.

The physics and the economics of smaller process nodes is becoming harder and harder, to the point where anything beyond 10nm or so looks extremely difficult.

[Dn_Ab]

I don't. The slowing of the pace of innovation has been claimed for centuries but has yet to happen.

Switching architectures, materials, moving to atomic scale - there is still plenty of room at the bottom. I'm excited for memrisotor tech myself.

[eleitl]

Indeed, see http://www.semiwiki.com/forum/content/1388-scariest-graph-i-...

[Someone]

That graph ignores that there will be pressure to go to smaller sizes not to get more power for the same size, but to get the same power for less power usage.

On the other hand, I would like to see a graph plotting time or nanometers vs cost of the factory needed to make them. I cannot find one, but I remember seeing ones that hinted that the cost of making a production line would become prohibitive for everyone.