[lkrubner]

Nate Silver has shifted his politics very far to the right. That's simply a fact. He used to do reports on polling in which his math was straightforward and very reasonable, and back around 2016 he gave the public a good education about what probability actually meant -- in particular, he performed a real service by reminding people that "a 66% chance of winning" does not mean a person is going to win, it actually means one-third of the time they will lose. But nowadays Nate Silver argues on Twitter in favor of whatever Peter Thiel is doing, even as Peter Thiel endorses a completely illegal coup aimed at destroying the USA.

[gruez]

>But nowadays Nate Silver argues on Twitter in favor of whatever Peter Thiel is doing, even as Peter Thiel endorses a completely illegal coup aimed at destroying the USA.

Link to such tweets? I've gone through two pages of his most recent tweets and couldn't find anything obviously matches "argues on Twitter in favor of whatever Peter Thiel is doing, even as Peter Thiel endorses a completely illegal coup aimed at destroying the USA". The closest I could find were

"Don't neglect how tedious this platform is becoming. Democrats "won" the battle of being the most annoying party for several years running, but their grip on the title will probably be broken soon."

and a series of tweets talking about how smart Musk is.

Is that what you meant by "very far to the right"? Is not being infinitely rabid against Trump/Vance/Musk count as "very far to the right" now?

[PaulHoule]

The important thing about Silver is that he's gone "all in" on sports betting which is a bro sort of thing so that will code him.

Silver hasn't been on the pod in a long time so you can't say his politics, whatever they are, have anything to do with the pod.

[Clubber]

>Is that what you meant by "very far to the right"? Is not being infinitely rabid against Trump/Vance/Musk count as "very far to the right" now?

Yes, political discussion has ceased to be rational and has degraded into merely emotional outbursts today. I'm trying really hard to stay away from any political discussion. They're all very predictable and I feel like engaging in them is making me dumber. I see a political post with 500 comments, I don't even have to read it to know the main arguments.

[bdangubic]

I see a political post with 500 comments, I don't even have to read it to know the main arguments.

It amazes me that in this day and age people still (500 as your example states is actually quite low for some of the political shit on HN lately) continue to "argue" and discuss politics. It is 2025, literally everyone is in their own echochamber.

minds of people that still use "X" are basically being ran by state-sponsored media (amazing no one realizes this, would wonder what would happen if say Hillary bought X tomorrow...lol), minds of other people are being ran by whatever other place they do their own research - in 2025 no one will ever be able to "convince" someone else about anything or "open their eyes" to what they are being subjected to - it is suuuuuuch a waste of everyone's time to discuss politics. then you have droves of people complaining that many posts get flagged - the flaggers I believe are just people trying to save 500+ people from wasting their precious time :)