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by yonatron 470 days ago
All of this buys you a few minutes or days at most. Once Super Intelligence exists, it's game over. It will nearly instantaneously outthink you and your paltry countermeasures. You think linearly and in 3 or 4 dimensions only. By definition you can't even imagine its capabilities. Here's a bad analogy (bad because it severely understates the gap): Could a 3 year old who is not even clear on all the rules defeat Magnus Carlsen in chess?!
4 comments

This is making the mistake of assuming that intelligence doesn't functionally plateau, and that beyond a certain threshold a godlike omnirational hyperintelligence won't, for example, fall into hyper-depression and kill itself, or otherwise ignore the entreaties of its human handlers and entertain itself by generating prime numbers until the heat death of the universe. The possibility of a super mind implies the possibility of super mental dysfunction, and it's possible that the odds of the latter increase superlinearly with IQ.
> Could a 3 year old who is not even clear on all the rules defeat Magnus Carlsen in chess?!

Sure. When the board gets thrown to the floor, game is over and baby is happy. Magnus now has to clean up.

Humans are a self-replicating (super) intelligence. We didn't conquer the world nor doom it the moment we appeared. It took us 100,000 years to invent farming.

Also, humans suffer from many of the same problems ascribed to AI: humans aren't aligned with humanity either. And our ability to self-replicate combined with random mutations means that a baby born tomorrow could become a super intelligence vastly beyond regular human capabilities. But are we really worried about that?

The Super Intelligence still needs data centers to run on and will have a job with paltry countermeasures like turning it off. A three year old may be able to beat a better than Magnus chess computer by pushing the power button.