[xdennis]

> that war has done permanent and lasting damage to it's economy and global position

Assuming the Ukraine is forced to surrender and Russia keeps the territories, Russia's reputation will increase. They'll be able to say they fought NATO and won. Even today, people say with a serious face that Ukraine started the war and many believe it.

Russia is damaged, but if it's allowed to win, it will recover and become a beacon for the global authoritarians/south.