| > On the contrary, we have 86B neurons in the brain The neurons (cells) in even a fruit flies brain are orders of magnitude more complex than the "neurons" (theoretical concept) in a neural net. > the weighting of the connections is the important thing In a neural net, sure. In a biological brain, many more factors are important: The existence of a pathway. Antagonistic neurotransmitters. NT re-incorporation. NT-binding sensitivity. Excitation potential. Activity of Na/K channels. Moderating enzymes. Even what we last ate or drank, how rested, old, hydrated, we are, when our lats physical activity took place, and all the interactions prior to an input influence how we analyse and integrate it. > but we are definitely 'running' a model with many billions of parameters to produce our output. No, we are very definitely not. Many of our mental activities have nothing to do with state prediction at all. We integrate information. We exist as a conscious agent in the world. We interact, and by doing so change our own internal state alongside the information we integrate. We are able to, from this, simulate our own actions and those of other agents, and model the world around us, and then model how an interaction with that world would change the model. We are also able to model abstract concepts both in and outside the world. We understand what concepts, memories, states, and information mean both as abstract concepts and concrete entities in the universe. We communicate with other agents, simultaneously changing their states and updating our modeling of their internal state (theory of the mind, I know that you know that I know, ...) We filter, block, change, and create information. And of course we constantly learn and change the way we do ALL OF THIS, consciously and subconsciously. > At the very least, we are a long way from knowing for certain that we don't work in this way. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russell%27s_teapot |
If the process in the brain is modellable at all, then it is certainly a model with at a minimum many billions of parameters. Your list of additional parameters if anything supports that rather than arguing against it. If you want to argue with that contention, I think you need to argue that the process isn't modellable, which if you want to talk about burden of proof, would place a huge burden on you. But maybe I misunderstood you. I thought you were saying that it's ludicrous to say we're using as many as billions of parameters, but perhaps you're trying to say that billions is obviously far too small, in which case I agree.
My second point, which is that there's a live theory that prediction may be a core element of our consciousness was intended as an interesting aside, I don't know how it will stand the test of time and I certainly don't know if its correct or not, I intended only to use it to prove that the things you seem to think are obvious are not in fact obvious to everyone.
For example, that big list of things that you are using as an argument against prediction doesn't work at all because you don't know whether they are implemented via a predictive process in the brain or not.
It feels that rather than arguing against modellability or large numbers of parameters or prediction you're arguing against the notion that the human brain is exactly an llm, which is an idea so obviously true I don't think anyone actually disagrees with it.