[talldatethrow]

Personally most Trump supporters I know can only hope for a more Trumpian successor to Trump. Basically if JD Vance continues on his path he is looking like a sure thing for the Republican nomination obviously, but if any of Trump's tactics work he has a decent chance overall to ride that wave.

[JKCalhoun]

I suspect the coming economy though will weigh in.

[imcritic]

I bet the economy of U.S. will only prosper under Trump and Vance.

[JKCalhoun]

I'm already betting against that with my portfolio.

[imcritic2]

Kudos for being straightforward and putting your money where your mouth is. I wish that you'd come back with the results in 4 years.

[JKCalhoun]

I'm happy to. And if I am wrong about the economy, it won't be the first time.

[r_p4rk]

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Why wait that long?

[mathfailure]

Because extrapolating with little data is stupid.

https://xkcd.com/605/

[ttyprintk]

It’s clever to pick the word “prosper” rather than grow, or stabilize, or build, or strengthen. It’s also clever to slip Vance into it, which assumes either he wins the ongoing succession, or loses it and moots your bet.

[bdangubic]

about as sound of a bet as joe biden winning a gold medal in decathlon in the next summer olympics :)

[ModernMech]

JD Vance, and Elon Musk for that matter, and really everyone else lacks the one thing even Trump haters admit Trump has: charisma. Even my feminist ex-wife loved him on the apprentice. Even to this day she think's he's a funny guy and is entertained by him. Fact of the matter is his charisma has formed a cult of personality around him.

JD Vance, Elon Musk, Ron DeSantis, all of these guys who think they'll be able to take over the cult lack the key ingredient - the personality. Musk has a sort of cult among specifically the HN crowd, but we are small and generally people clock him as a weirdo creep.

There is no successor to Trump, his movement dies with him. His age is our saving grace.

[talldatethrow]

I have a feeling your dislike of Trump and possibly even conservatives is clouding your judgement. Vance is well liked by basically all Trump supporters.

If Joe Biden has proven anything, it's that voters will vote for someone they barely like if they think it's helping their cause.

The only issue in play here is how many voters think lower crime, less wasteful spending, less racist hiring practices, and less illegal immigration is something they like. If they decide those things matter to them, JD is more than likable and capable enough for them to get behind.

[ModernMech]

I'm actually more conservative in my politics than conservatives these days. What's happening in government now is not conservative in the least, it's incredibly radical. US supporting Putin over Ukraine is not a conservative position, for instance.

JD Vance has nowhere near the charisma of Trump. Being "well liked" within the context of Trump isn't sufficient to maintain the personality cult of Trump. Ron DeSantis had more solid conservative support than JD Vance and he also was unable to get control of the MAGA cult.