[hnthrow90348765]

My guess is CRUD app development will become commoditized like ordinary pentesting. The money in security is definitely not regular pentesting these days.

You'll see smaller team sizes at first, then continuing to shrink as individual positions get a higher workload and spread of knowledge.

I think "Vibe coding" is probably a canary for all of this so it's worth paying attention to what a non-programmer can actually accomplish. This creates narratives that get picked up by managers and decision-makers.

The capabilities taking user input will surely be hacked eventually, so I think those are a non-starter, not-for-nothing because of bitter, laid off developers wanting to see you fail.

[throwaway290]

> You'll see smaller team sizes at first, then continuing to shrink as individual positions get a higher workload and spread of knowledge.

In other words: "programmers on whose work the LLMs were trained will lose their jobs"