[kragen]

The graph is very interesting! The number of Indeed openings looks like it's basically leveled off at the initial early covid number over the last year; it's not rising, but at least it's not falling anymore. That seems like pretty optimistic news for developers! Total compensation is still pretty high, I hear. And it seems likely that if humans aren't replaced wholesale by AGI, the opportunities for building valuable new software are likely to increase a lot over the next few years.

Smaller teams and more bootstrapping (as opposed to venture-funded rapid growth) seems likely to reduce the reliance on recruiters who are a plague on the industry, with few exceptions.

On the other hand, maybe a lot of tasks you could previously get a lot of leverage on with a simple Perl script will just be done directly by LLMs. Not if they're customer-facing, maybe, but in cases where you just need to get some data in a different format or something.

[throw83288]

This smells like AI.

[kragen]

No, I'm pretty sure Gergely Orosz is a real person. He's been blogging at that domain name since 02015: https://web.archive.org/web/20151112212434/http://blog.pragm...

[red-iron-pine]

I would imagine as high as 1 in 5 here is AI. this one was just lazy prompt engineering or QC afterwards

[kragen]

You may not have read the guidelines for contributing to this site, but https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html specifically says:

> When disagreeing, please reply to the argument instead of calling names. (...) Please don't sneer, including at the rest of the community. (...) Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing, shilling, brigading, foreign agents, and the like. It degrades discussion and is usually mistaken.

Your comment flagrantly violates all three of these rules.

This trivial cryptogram contains more details: Tiqy mcif ufobrtohvsf'g dwgg-ghwbywbu oggvczs, mci dihfwr dirrzs ct dig.