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by gdhkgdhkvff 485 days ago
I’m not sure what you’re actually trying to ask here.

Are ai advancements being OVERLY hyped? Yes. That doesn’t mean there’s nothing to them, though.

Are ai advancements being hyped by paid ai hype shills? My guess would be yes. Again, that doesn’t mean there’s nothing to them.

Will the max usage end up being as high as current hypers are hyping? Unknowable. There is SOME amount of false hype, but also SOME amount of meat to the hype, and SOME amount of continued improvement in ai abilities. If ai abilities (not just underlying model strength, but also the ability to harness models in real use cases) stopped increasing today, then the total realized gain from AI would fall short of existing hype. If ai abilities continue to increase, then who knows when the hype bubble will pop.

Either way, when the hype bubble DOES pop, it will fail to reach the usefulness of peak hype, but that “when” could be tomorrow or could be after 10x improvement in actual usefulness.