It looks like they detected a muon and are inferring a neutrino from the fact it went through a lot of solid. Couldn't it be any other weakly-interacting particle though?
How? Quarks can't change into leptons. Charged leptons can't change directly into other charged leptons. And neither charged leptons nor hadrons are going to pass through such a quantity of matter, as you say. I mean I assume other cases are technically possible but they don't seem very likely...