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by bko
496 days ago
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Ah yes, the compensating behavior theory all over again. Replace "seat belts" with "driver assist" > This paper investigates the effects of mandatory seat belt laws on driver
behavior and traffic fatalities. Using a unique panel data set on seat belt usage
rates in all U.S. jurisdictions, we analyze how such laws, by influencing seat
belt use, affect traffic fatalities. Controlling for the endogeneity of seat belt
usage, we find that it decreases overall traffic fatalities. The magnitude of this
effect, however, is significantly smaller than the estimate used by the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Testing the compensating behavior
theory, which suggests that seat belt use also has an adverse effect on fatalities
by encouraging careless driving, we find that this theory is not supported by
the data. Finally, we identify factors, especially the type of enforcement used,
that make seat belt laws more effective in increasing seat belt usage. [0] http://www.law.harvard.edu/programs/olin_center/papers/pdf/3... |
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