[coderenegade]

At this stage, it's looking entirely possible that large closed models aren't viable as a moat, because, by virtue of making the model available for use, you open yourself up to having your weights distilled. AI, like anything else, will hit diminishing returns, because there's only so far ahead you can look without error bars exploding, and beyond a certain point, writing "better" code is an academic exercise. Under these circumstances, it would be reasonable to expect that the average person could have a decent amount of useful intelligence at their fingertips.

The cynic in me suspects that the result will be zero public access, and a b2b AI service model only from the big players. The optimist in me hopes that the genie has already been unbottled, and open weights (if not necessarily open source) has enough momentum to ensure that people can host this stuff on their own if they so choose. In both cases, training data will be so locked down it'll make breaking into the Pentagon look like an excursion to the sand pit.