[conception]

Software engineering is going the way that Photography did. It didn’t happen overnight but in ten years it’ll be I’d bet. Good photographers are still needed when you need “real” work done, and those photographers use the tools available to them (photoshop et al).

But the common folk will be able to create pretty compelling software as easily as they can create pretty compelling photos at an extremely lower barrier of skill as compared to the 70’s and using film.

So, like with photography the jobs will be fewer and require more work and a higher bar of skill but also, the common person will be able to produce something pretty compelling knowing little to nothing about how it all works.

[dansult]

Thats a sombre take. My father in law was a professional photographer for 30 years. His experience was very much that everyone can take a decent photo today. But he saw diminishing opportunities as early as the days of small point and shoot cameras. Today, they're not used as much because commodity DSLRs are relatively cheap and dont require much if any training. Are we in the days of the Nikon Coolpix? Maybe, its definitely something to consider.