Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by alephnerd 499 days ago
An "AI-Driven State" is literally what econometrics is. All of the same math, models, and techniques used in AI/ML are the exact same used in Econometrics and Optimization Theory.

A pure technocratic driven state leveraging econometrics or optimization theory for the sake of it has failed multiple times. For example, the failure of the USSR's planned economy, the failure of the US's Vietnam War objectives due to a hyper-metrics driven workflow, etc.

On a separate note, I have always considered returning to grad school and making a small career of translating esoteric Econometrics models into ML models to make a brief publishing career. A Russian American friend of mine did something similar by essentially basing his CS research career on older Soviet optimization theory research that wasn't translated into English, so he could boost his publishing ability.

2 comments

Technocratic states have not failed because of technocracy itself, but because their implementation was distorted by political, ideological, or cultural factors. Technocracy as a principle is not the issue-failure occurs when it is combined with rigid, non-adaptive systems that prioritize dogma over reality.

People are the problem here. As always. But of course AI itself need to be managed by people too so it can rose similar problem. Politics itself is the issue.

Econometrics are very far away from what current LLMs are capable of.