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by CamperBob2 500 days ago
He's unlikely to be writing from a genuinely ideological point of view. He's playing a zero-sum game, in that every chip that goes to China is one that Anthropic and/or its cloud provider doesn't get its hands on.

So it makes sense to him to argue for export controls using whatever rhetorical flexes and flourishes he can come up with.

1 comments

There's no zero sum games in a growing industry like this.
As long as the semiconductor fabs are running at capacity, yes, it's one big zero sum game. If you win one chip, I lose one chip, and vice versa.

This situation is temporary, of course. China previously had a large incentive to get their own leading-edge nodes into production, and now they have a Manhattan Project-size incentive.

They aren't running at full capacity on AI chips though - TSMC's main customer is iPhones as far as I know. So you could take away production time for them, though it's still zero-summy.

But TSMC is building new leading edge fabs right now.