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by awongh 507 days ago
2) Seems the most plausible, but how to value the moat, or, how long / how many dollars will it cost to overcome the moat? The lead that CUDA currently has suggests that it's probably a lot of money, and it's not clear what the landscape will look like afterwards.

It seems likely that the technology / moat won't just melt away into nothing, it'll at least continue to be a major player 10 years from now. The question is if the market share will be 70%, 10% or 30% but still holding a lead over a market that becomes completely fractured....