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by enragedcacti 526 days ago
It seems like a repeat of Uber's play but at 10x scale. Lose 10s of billions of dollars scaling a product that loses you money on every sale in the hopes that it will position you well for the massive disrupter of [self-driving | AGI]. Uber's play didn't shake out so now they are very very slowly digging out of a 30bn hole. I guess its just a question of how big the AI hole gets before they either make AGI or give up and start shoveling.
1 comments

While there is no reasonable explanation for why Uber can't just turn a profit (and it looks like they have for the last few years), deep-learning models have very hard physical constraints on how much they cost.
I would argue that physical cars driven by people have much harder constraints on cost than LLMs which can see huge cost savings (for the same performance model) as hardware improves. I agree that they aren't perfect parallels but in principle there's nothing stopping AI companies from massively cutting R&D and raising prices until marginal revenue is positive, it just would mean accepting not getting "take over the world" level profitability or getting run out of town by someone willing to keep burning money.