[peutetre]

> For that, you'd need (at least two) roughly equally matched adversaries controlling the armed forces.

Or you have a military weakened and degraded by a pointless war of choice in Ukraine.

And you have many armies controlled by oligarchs and warlords looking after their own interests (like Prigozhin).

And you have many separatist movements, such has for example a movement for Siberian independence.

And you have a power vacuum after the head of a mafia-style state is deposed or dies.

After Putin all bets are off.

Exactly this is happening in Myanmar right now: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42572620