[bobthepanda]

China is unlikely to invade a failing state simply because it already has enough on its plate without trying to build some other nation too. We know this because to a large extent this is already what’s happening with Myanmar where rebels have seized control of border towns with China without so much as a peep.

[peutetre]

Precisely this situation is unfolding in Myanmar right now. The junta is so weakened that they have no choice but to turn to China. Chinese troops will be in Myanmar soon to protect Chinese infrastructure investment:

https://www.rfa.org/english/opinions/2024/11/23/opinion-myan...

https://theconversation.com/chinese-security-companies-are-p...

https://www.voanews.com/a/china-backed-election-raises-fears...

If Russia decides to have a civil war, China will do the same in Russia.

[bobthepanda]

The first article hardly has any sourcing and the second one is primarily quoting the first.

[peutetre]

Myanmar is precisely the example. You could not have picked a better example to make my case.