[vajrabum]

Here are two papers referenced in the article. This one inspired Bill Benter

https://gwern.net/doc/statistics/decision/1986-bolton.pdf

And Bill Benter wrote this one in 1995 describing his system

https://gwern.net/doc/statistics/decision/1994-benter.pdf

[larrydag]

This is really interesting. It's not unlike building a credit bureau model like a FICO score. Just trying to find a probability of likelihood outcome.