[giardini]

gizmo says>LLMs today can already automate many desk jobs.

I call: show me five actual "desk jobs" that LLMs have "already automated". Not merely tasks, but desk jobs - jobs with titles, pay scales, retirement plans, etc. in real companies.

[jiggawatts]

I know an immigration agent who simply stopped using professional translators because ChatGPT is more than good enough for his purposes. In many ways it is actually better, especially if instructed to use the specific style and terminology required by the law.

If you think about it, human calculators (the job title!) were entirely replaced by digital electronic calculators. Translators are simply "language calculators" that perform mechanical transformations, the ideal scenario for something like an LLM to replace.

[anon373839]

That’s professional negligence. Have the LLM prepare a draft for a human translator to review, sure. But taking the human out of the loop and letting in undetectable hallucinations? In a legal proceeding?

[anonzzzies]

But it is not all or nothing here. We replaced real programmers (backend, frontend, embedded) with it, but obviously (I guess) not all. We just require 1/5th of those roles since around beginning this year. There are a lot more 'low level' jobs in tons of companies where we see the same happening because suddenly the automation is trivial to make instead of 'a project'. It will take time for the bigger ones and it won't 'eliminate' all jobs of the same type (maybe it will in time), but it will eliminate most people doing that job as now 1 people can do the work of 5 or more.

I guess we will see the actual difference in 5-10 years in the stats. Big companies are mostly still evaluating and waiting. Maybe it will remain just a few blibs and it'll fizzle out, or maybe, and this is what I expect, the effect will be a lot larger, moving many to other roles and many completely out of work.

On a small (we see many companies inside, but many is relative, of course), but real life examples I see are translators, programmers, seo/marketing writers, data entry (copying content from pdf to excel, human webscraping etc) being replaced now.

We work with some small outsourcing outfits (few 100 people per) and they noted sharp drops in business from the west where the stated reason is AI, but it's not really easy to say or see if that's real or just the current market.

[gloosx]

Imagine the face of a guy who needs to do the work of 5 solo now... He is probably the happiest employee now and his salary raised 5-fold, surely yeah?

Hopefully that'll finish off big companies