[fnqi8ckfek]

How do those confidence levels work? It looks to me you're just assigning probabilities to outcomes.

[yunwal]

I think it's roughly: "I would bet 9$ to your $1 that this happens", although some of these are vague enough that you couldn't objectively determine whether the bet materialized.

[fnqi8ckfek]

So they aren't confidence levels. They're odds, but he's trying to sound sophisticated.