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by kevingadd 537 days ago
Where does "almost unlimited" come into the picture though? I see people talking like AGI will be unlimited when it will be limited by available compute resources, and like I suggested, being 'first' might come at the cost of the war chest you'd need to access those resources.

What does it take to instantiate 1 million agents? Who has that kind of money and hardware? Would they still have it if they burn everything in the tank to be first?

2 comments

> Where does "almost unlimited" come into the picture though

>> Like let's say you have a few datacenters of compute at your disposal and the ability to instantiate millions of AGI agents - what do you have them do?

> has that kind of money and hardware?

Any hyperscaler plus most geopolitical main players. So the ones who matter.

Once you have AGI you use it to collect resources to cripple competitors and to build a snowball effect to make yourself unbeatable. 3 months of AGI is enough in the right hands to dominate the world economically.
Only if the AGI is cheaper than a human, in the case the AGI is more expensive than a human there wont be any snowballing. And the most likely case is that the first AGI is more expensive to run than a human, a few months of having overly expensive human level AI bots wont disrupt the world at all.