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by Retr0id
555 days ago
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> Looking at patio11's record on Manifold, for example, you will see that he is quite clueless about the world I wouldn't say that, necessarily. It's hard to tell the difference between a good predictor who got unlucky vs a bad predictor who got lucky, at a glance (it's also hard to discern which bets were placed "for fun" vs as a rational choice). |
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