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by Hash-Basher 556 days ago
Bitcoin will dramatically fall to $250k from the heights of $600k
1 comments

> heights of $600k

Hopefully not too soon. I just bought $30,000 in BITI, an ETF that tracks the inverse of Bitcoin. Basically the only way to short Bitcoin from a typical retail investment account.

This seems like a bad idea all around. BITI, like many “ETF that tracks ___”, tracks daily changes, which means as price chops around you’re continually losing value, i.e. BTC can break even over a year and BITI will lose value. Then there’s the issue of it tracking a deflationary instrument that is essentially guaranteed to rise over time unless it were completely eliminated, just due to people losing BTC via bad/lost hard drives.
Any particular signal for your trade?

I hope you're right but bubbles tend to go through an exponential blow-off phase before the crash which often takes out shorts who were right but too early.