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by tmvphil 552 days ago
You are too certain. Polls of working quantum researchers put significant credence on breaking RSA within 20 years. https://globalriskinstitute.org/publication/2023-quantum-thr...
1 comments
light_hue_1 552 days ago
You should not put any weight on surveys like this.

I'm an ML/AI researcher. I get similar surveys regularly. I don't reply, neither do my colleagues. The people who reply are a self selected group who are heavily biased toward thinking that AGI will happen soon. Or they have a financial interest in creating hype.

Most of the experts from that report have a direct financial benefit from claiming that this will happen really soon now.

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dxbydt 552 days ago
> Most of the experts from that report have a direct financial benefit from claiming that this will happen

Rigetti $RGTI is up 400% this month. 135% this week alone. He’s right.

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