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by whiplash451 560 days ago
Your proposal makes a lot of sense. I assume a number of companies are integrating sota models into their products.

That being said, there is no free lunch: when you're doing this, you're more reactive than proactive. You minimize risk, but you also lose any change to have a stake [1] in the few survivors that will remain and be extremely valuable.

Do this long enough and you'll have no idea what people are talking about in the field. Watch the latest Dwarkesh Patel episode to get a sense of what I am talking about.

[1] stake to be understood broadly as: shares in a company, knowledge as an AI researcher, etc.

1 comments

Thank you for your thoughtful response! I completely agree that there's a tradeoff between being proactive and reactive in this kind of strategy: minimizing risk by waiting can mean missing out on opportunities to gain a broader "stake".

That said, my perspective focuses more on strategic timing rather than complete passivity. It's about being engaged with understanding trends, staying informed, and preparing to act decisively when the right opportunity emerges. It's less about "waiting on the sidelines" and more about deliberate pacing, recognizing that it’s not always necessary to be at the bleeding edge to create value.

I'll definitely check out Dwarkesh Patel’s latest episode. I assume it is the Gwern one, right? Thanks!