[benkuykendall]

Phew. The pessimism here is kinda... exhausting. But frankly I don't have any material objections

""" The Mars Religion

When you hold on to a belief so strongly that neither facts nor reason can change it, what you are doing is no longer science, but religion. So I’ve come to believe the best way to look at our Mars program is as a faith-based initiative. There is a small cohort of people who really believe in going to Mars, the way some people believe in ghosts or cryptocurrency, and this group has an outsize effect on our space program.

At NASA, the faith takes the form of a cargo cult. The agency has persuaded itself that re-enacting the Moon landings with enough fidelity will reward them with a trip to Mars, bringing back the limitless budgets, uncomplicated patriotism, and rapt public attention of the early sixties. They send up their rockets with the same touching faith that keeps Amtrak hauling empty dining cars across the prairie, dreaming of the golden age of rail.

Outside of NASA, the Mars faith shades darker. It is part of a transhumanist worldview that holds mankind must either spread to the stars or die. Elon Musk, the Martian spiritual leader, has talked about the need to “preserve the light of consciousness” by making us a multiplanetary species. As he sees it, Mars is our only way off of a planet crawling with existential risk. And it's not just enough to explore mars; we have make it a backup for all civilization. Failing to stock it with subsistence farming incels would be tantamount to humanity lying down in its open grave. """

[cosmic_cheese]

Something that’s frequently lost in the discussion I think is that in the long term, Mars is a stepping stone.

While proponents think that Mars should be permanently inhabited and have cities, the larger point is to light a fire under the development of the technologies and techniques involved in crewed spaceflight and human habitats beyond Earth’s gravity well. Mars does this better than the Moon does because it has a higher baseline level of self-sustenance due to its much greater distance, and so if you get to the point that getting people to Mars and having them live there long term is no big deal, you’ve also essentially made humanity a proper spacefaring species — we’d no longer be so tied down to LEO and could have substantial crewed missions traversing the solar system and beyond.