[ConspiracyFact]

I'm tired of AI melodrama. The Singularity(TM) is not near; we will see at least one more AI winter first. Large language models are neat and useful, but they're not close to AGI. Jobs will be lost, but many companies who cut too many people will get bitten by hallucinations and other problems and will quietly rehire.

I think that AGI is inevitable, but I don't think it will arrive before 2050.

[obruchez]

Kurzweil's book "The Singularity is Near" was published in 2005 and at the time he placed the technological singularity in 2045, so 40 years in the future. He said it was "near", because most people thought at the time that either it would never happen or it would happen in thousands or millions of years.